SEA WALL MONITORING MODEL BASED ON RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION AND DISTINGUISHABILITY ON ITS FORECAST CONFIDENCE LEVEL

Huang Ming; Liu Jun

doi:10.13204/j.gyjz201309016

Volume 43 Issue 9

Dec. 2014

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Huang Ming, Liu Jun. SEA WALL MONITORING MODEL BASED ON RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION AND DISTINGUISHABILITY ON ITS FORECAST CONFIDENCE LEVEL[J]. INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION, 2013, 43(9): 88-91. doi: 10.13204/j.gyjz201309016

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Huang Ming, Liu Jun. SEA WALL MONITORING MODEL BASED ON RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION AND DISTINGUISHABILITY ON ITS FORECAST CONFIDENCE LEVEL[J]. INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION, 2013, 43(9): 88-91. doi: 10.13204/j.gyjz201309016

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SEA WALL MONITORING MODEL BASED ON RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION AND DISTINGUISHABILITY ON ITS FORECAST CONFIDENCE LEVEL

doi: 10.13204/j.gyjz201309016

Huang Ming¹,
Liu Jun²

1.
1. School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China;
2.
2． School of Naval Architecture,Ocean and Civil Engineering,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai 200240,China

Received Date: 2012-10-15
Publish Date: 2013-09-20

Abstract

Abstract

To analyze and forecast sea wall working state，a sea wall monitoring model was established by thefollowing steps: selecting former tidewater factor，integral rain factor and time effect factor based on causality study，using radial basis function ( ＲBF ) artificial neural network as modeling tool， considering monitoring datacharacteristics，and using fuzzy C-mean algorithm(FCM) to confirm ＲBF centers． And then，the forecast of sea wallworking state was realized by the methods below: errors of the model were studied，including error values，trend anddistribution，based on these，a hypothesis testing method was presented to evaluate forecast results consideringconfidence level，and stabilities of different forecast length was compared on a same confidence level，finally theinstance model were set up，the training and forecast effects were analyzed．
- sea wall safety monitoring,
- ＲBF model,
- forecast error,
- confidence level,
- hypothesis testing

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References(14)

References

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