Research on Determination Methods of Safety States for Plastic Landslides
-
摘要: 为确定塑性滑坡变形过程中的安全状态,基于典型的塑性滑坡累计位移-时间曲线,提出采用曲线割线斜率作为滑坡发展阶段的判断标准。对于割线斜率-时间(St-t)曲线起始段斜率为负,且曲线急剧下降段,可断定为滑坡初始变形阶段;对于缓慢下降段,可认定为匀速变形段;对于总体趋势由负转正并且上升趋势确立的曲线,可将斜率为零的时间点定为滑坡由匀速变形向加速变形转变的临界点;对于加速变形向急剧变形转变的时间点,可采用当次割线斜率与邻近5次割线斜率比确定,采用连续两次割线斜率比第一次大2.0、比第二次大1.0作为滑坡进入急剧变形阶段的控制标准。根据实例,验证了上述方法的可行性和合理性。Abstract: A feasible approach of secant slopes was proposed to determine the safety state of plastic landslides, which was based on the typical accumulation displacement-time curve of plastic landslides. The secant slope-time (St-t) curve was used to determine the stages of landslide deformation. If the St-t curve was negative and the curve descended steeply, the landslide was judged in the initial deformation stage. The landslide was in the constant deformation stage if the curve's secant was negative and the curve kept falling slowly; if the curve's secant was from negative to positive and its upward trend was determined, the time point with zero slope could be defined as the critical point of the transformation for landslides from the constant speed deformation stage to accelerated deformation stage; the ratio of the current secant slope to the secant slope of the near five periods could be used to determine the time point from the accelerated deformation stage to rapid deformation stage. If the ratios were greater than 2.0 for the first time and 1.0 for the second time, the landslide entered the rapid deformation stage. According to the example verification, the feasibility and reasonability of the above method were proved.
-
Key words:
- secant slope ratio /
- deformation stage /
- safety state /
- early warning /
- landslide
-
[1] 贺可强,陈为公,张朋.蠕滑型边坡动态稳定性系数实时监测及其位移预警判据研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,2016,35(7):1377-1385. [2] 贺可强,李显忠. 大型堆积层滑坡剪出口形成的力学条件与综合位移力学判据[J]. 工程勘察,1996(5):13-16. [3] 王尚庆,金先意,胡高社,等. 长江三峡滑坡监测预报[M]. 北京:地质出版社,1999:118-126. [4] ROBERTO R. Seismically induced landslide displacements:a predictive model[J]. Engineering Geology,2000,58(3/4):337-351. [5] 李秀珍,许强,黄润秋,等. 滑坡预报判据研究[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2003,14(4):5-11. [6] 金海元,徐卫亚,孟永东,等. 锦屏一级水电站左岸边坡稳定综合预报研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,2008,27(10):2058-2063. [7] 许强,曾裕平. 具有蠕变特点滑坡的加速度变化特征及临滑预警指标研究[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,2009,28(6):1099-1106. [8] 许强,曾裕平,钱江澎,等. 一种改进的切线角及对应的滑坡预警判据[J]. 地质通报,2009,28(4):501-505. [9] HERRERA G, FERNÁNDEZ-MERODO J A, MULAS J, et al. Alandslide forecasting model using ground based sar data:the portales case study[J]. Engineering Geology,2009,105(3/4):220-230. [10] 高华喜, 殷坤龙. 降雨与滑坡灾害相关性分析及预警预报阈值之探讨[J].岩土力学,2007,28(5):1055-1060. [11] 李聪,朱杰兵,汪斌,等. 滑坡不同变形阶段演化规律与变形速率预警判据研究[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2016,35(7):1407-1414. [12] 王家鼎, 张倬元.典型高速黄土滑坡群的系统工程地质研究[M].成都:四川科学技术出版社,1999. [13] 曾裕平.重大突发性滑坡灾害预测预报研究[D].成都:成都理工大学,2009. [14] 王立伟,谢谟文,柴小庆. 滑坡变形空间评价的位移速率比方法研究[J].岩土力学,2014,35(2):519-528. [15] 冯夏庭.智能岩石力学导论[M].北京:科学出版社,2000.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 86
- HTML全文浏览量: 19
- PDF下载量: 2
- 被引次数: 0