LONG-TERM SETTLEMENT PREDICTION ANALYSIS OF OVERHEAD TRANSMISSION TOWER ON RECENT FILL
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摘要: 输电线塔混凝土基础的沉降计算是输电线路设计的重要依据,混凝土基础的沉降监测是发现输电线塔倾斜的常用手段。分层总和法是工程中常用的地基沉降计算方法,根据已有监测沉降预测未来沉降的曲线拟合算式较多,蠕变沉降实用算法是其中参数较少、物理意义较为明确的一种。分别采用分层总和法、蠕变沉降实用算法、三点法和双曲线法对山西省阳泉市铝土矿回填场地架空输电线塔基础的沉降进行计算和长期预测,结果表明蠕变沉降实用算法具有较好的适用性。为了解决曲线拟合式的可信预测区间问题,蠕变沉降实用算法给出了有效预测区间原理,预测了混凝土基础在给定误差限时的有效预测时间。Abstract: Prediction about settlement of concrete foundation for transmission line tower is an important basis for designing transmission line. Settlement monitoring of foundation is a common method to detect the inclination of transmission tower. The calculation method of foundation settlement commonly used in engineering is layer-wise summation method, and there are many curve fitting formulas for predicting future settlement based on the existing monitoring settlement. The practical creep settlement algorithm is one with few parameters and clear physical significance. In the paper, the layer-wise summation method, creep settlement practical algorithm, the three-point method and hyperbolic method were used to calculate and predicte the foundation settlement of the overhead transmission tower on the bauxite backfill site in Yangquan, Shanxi. The results showed that the practical creep settlement algorithm had good applicability. In order to solve the problem of credible prediction interval of curve fitting formula, the effective prediction interval principle was given by the practical creep settlement algorithm. At last, the effective prediction time of concrete foundation with given error limit was predicted.
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